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The Big Four Banks

Our Q&As are emailed in our Saturday Morning Report, find the answer to this question below.

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The Big Four Banks

Hi Market Matters Team In Tuesday's morning report - Stocks With Plenty to Gain From AI Cost Savings with the major banks already well down this path. you wrote "We can see the ASX banks pushing to new highs through 2026 with ANZ and Westpac remaining our preferred picks. MM is bullish towards the Australian Banks" However Tues Westpac flagged Middle East conflict impacts which saw the Banking sector lower for the rest of the week. Do you expect the other Banks will also be impacted? Are you still bullish the Banks ? regards Debbie

Answer

Hi Debbie,

A well-timed question which allows us to clarify how we see the banks ahead of Mays reports for ANZ, NAB and Westpac:

  • This week’s prudent cautionary comments about the Australian Consumer by Westpac are likely to weigh on the sector into Mays reporting season.
  • The banks are likely to cause ongoing underperformance by the ASX compared to US stocks into next month, e.g. a test of the $36-37 area by Westpac wouldn’t surprise.
  • However, we caution the bears around getting too excited as the markets already building in some “bad news” across the sector into May.
  • We can indeed still see the “Big Four Banks” making fresh highs through 2026 but that’s an eight-month journey.
  • However, note, we are under-weight the banks in our Active Growth Portfolio, preferring the resources sector to drive the index higher moving forward.
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Westpac Banking Corp (WBC)
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