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Thoughts on Lindian Resources Ltd (ASX: LIN)

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Thoughts on Lindian Resources Ltd (ASX: LIN)

Hi MM Team LIN is to start RE production by Q4 2026. What is your opinion on this stock? is it a good entry into RE stocks since we dont have many on the board here. What do you see as the upside on the share price? Thanks Boon

Answer

Hi Boon,

Lindian Resources Ltd (ASX: LIN) is an Australian exploration company focused on developing rare earth and critical minerals projects, primarily in Africa, with exposure to the growing demand for materials used in clean energy and technology.

  • This stock has surged ~10x fold in the last 12-months making it a $1.4bn rare earths play.

LIN is transitioning from a speculative explorer to a near-term producer — typically the phase where the largest re-ratings occur in mining. The Kangankunde project screens well (high grade, low impurities, long mine life) and is increasingly de-risked, with funding in place and strategic support via the Iluka offtake. Recent progress, including completion of on-site accommodation to support a continuous workforce, highlights steady execution.

The balance sheet is strong for a developer, with ~$85m cash post-raise and a further ~A$30m facility from Iluka, effectively funding Stage 1 through to production. At full ramp-up, LIN has the potential to generate ~$200–350m in revenue, with outcomes highly leveraged to rare earth prices.

That said, risks remain heading into first production (targeted December 2026), particularly around execution and commodity pricing, while the market has already priced in a degree of success. In our view, LIN is an early-stage but increasingly de-risked rare earths developer, offering high-beta exposure to electrification and AI demand themes.

  • We can see LIN trading between 75c and $1.25 through 2026 as we watch the execution at its mine.
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Lindian Resources Ltd (LIN)
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