Hi Peter,
The market listened to you on Wednesday with New Hope (NHC) stock falling ~8% on the same day that fellow coal miner Whitehaven (WHC) was trading more than +5% higher with some switching between the two apparent. Tuesday’s punch to a fresh 7-month high did feel a bit rich with the FY25 result largely in line with expectations but the market clearly took an initial shine to the dividend reinvestment plan.
Downgrades followed on the Wednesday from Macquarie and Jefferies, with the stock down the most in over four months. Lots of volatility but the underlying stock hardly moved in aggregate.
- NHC is now forecast to pay a total of 27c in dividends through 2026, still putting it on a more than 6% forecast fully franked yield although the underlying coal price will be an influential factor.
- By the end of Wednesday, NHC was trading down ~10c for the week, not a big move in a soft market if it hadn’t shot up on Tuesday.
We remain bullish and long NHC for yield in our Income Portfolio.