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DroneShield Ltd (DRO)

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DroneShield Ltd (DRO)

I watched an interview with the DRO CEO on Ausbiz 14/7/25. What does he mean when he mentioned the large pipeline of orders for DRO? Are they potential businesses that the company bids for, with no certainty that it will lead to orders? I am puzzled by the spectacular rise in the share price following the announcement that the company will expand its production facilities. Am I missing something? I asked for clarification from the company, but I have yet to receive a reply. What is MM's valuation of the company? Does it justify its $3B valuation? Thanks & regards.

Answer

Hi Sidney,

When the CEO describes a “large pipeline of orders” for DRO he’s referring to potential orders for their products totalling approximately $1.1–1.2 billion across over 110 high-quality government and military opportunities globally.

  • DRO  recent wins include $61.6 m and $32.2m deals, less than 10% of the above number.

The market and company clearly expects DRO to win a decent portion of orders over the coming years after the company decided to invest over $13mn in a new production facility in Sydney. At this stage DRO is a “Hot stock in a Hot sector (Defence)” hence its intraday volatility has gone off the charts – on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the stocks trading range was 10-15% each day, a Day Traders dream assuming they’re getting it right.

Valuing DRO on traditional metrics is tough, and we’d get something with a $1 handle on it. Capped at $3bn and doing ~$35m in profit this year means buying DRO is all about the hype and the momentum…From a technical trading perspective, Shawn likes the stock into dips towards the $3-3.25 area but its going to be a volatile ride and we wouldn’t be chasing it into strength.

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Droneshield Ltd (DRO)
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