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Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ)

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Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ)

Hi, Would love your views on the above stock please. A while back Qantas tried to buy the company and got knocked back by the ACCC. I believe the price would have been around $5.50 Since then the stock has kept falling to a position where the valuation is now less than the net value of their fleet alone. Your insights would be greatly appreciated. Thanks. Rob

Answer

Hi Rob,

Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ) is a QLD based aviation company that provides charter, wet lease, and regular public transport (RPT) services primarily for the mining, resources, tourism, and government sectors, i.e. Fly-in, Fly-out (FIFO) Services for the mines.

The stock might look cheap trading on 6x for FY25 but it hasn’t paid a dividend since COVID and has rising debt issues.. For for the Half-Year Ended December 31, 2024 (HY25) it made a NPAT of  $28.86mn, up 10% YoY. However, as mentioned the rising debt levels are an issue, increasing to $366.84 million at the end of the last FY.

The overall average age of Alliance’s fleet is estimated to be around 20–25 years, given the mix of newer Embraer jets and older Fokker models. AQZ will need to replace or upgrade its older aircraft in the near future hence at this stage we are neutral towards this ~$400mn QLD business.

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Alliance Aviation Services (AQZ)
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