Hi James,
The previously named Sealink is an Australian-based public transport service provider operateing over 5,800 buses, 115 vessels and 24 light rail vehicles, and it has fallen ~70% from its 2021 high. Last month’s 1H results initially shocked & disappointed the market sending the stock down almost 30% before it bounced back above $3, still ~20% from its 2025 high:
- 1H revenue of $1.07bn was 9% above last year’s 982.7mn.
- Net income of 20.1mn was -29% YoY, and significantly below estimates ~$31.6mn.
- Underlying earnings were down
- The company announced an 8c dividend.
The shares were hammered on the big earnings miss which was accompanied by a deluge of broker downgrades. We wouldn’t call it an infrastructure play per se, though it’s certainly diversified:
- About 50% of revenue from comes from Australian Buses, 32% International Buses and 17% from Marine & Tourism.
While the result was soft, we were happy to see more realistic targets set, with net sustaining CAPEX of $85m/pa along with return targets and lower target gearing. They’ve had a few operational missteps though, so the market will need to see them deliver before bidding up the stock.
- We like KLS as a business around $3, if they deliver operationally, they could easily be back at $5 or $6, it’s just a reasonable ‘if’ at this stage.