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Woolworths (WOW) – A beaten up stock worth buying?

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Woolworths (WOW) – A beaten up stock worth buying?

Dear James and Team, What are your thoughts on WOW as an short term opportunity. Almost at a 52 week low. Share price drop seems to be based on a supermarket beat up rather than fundamentals. I know MM is more about low trading turnover, but could this be a share with a possible short term rebound in 3-6 months? Charles

Answer

Hi Charles,

Woolworths (WOW) is certainly a company under scrutiny at present, its already made the press a couple of time over recent days for very different reasons:

  • Outgoing WOW boss Brad Banducci was threatened with jail time for refusing to answer a direct question around profitability at a heated senate hearing.
  • Morgan Stanley have identified the supermarkets including WOW as a risk from Ozempic et al. as people on the drugs will refrain from eating copious amounts of junk food.

Supermarkets remain in the political cross-hairs, accused of price gouging as the costs of living pressures increase but when WOW released 1H24 in February their underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) of $929m, was ~2.5% below expectations, not exactly the narrative the government is suggesting.

  • WOW is now trading on 22.2x 1-year forward earnings, against its 5-year average of 23.7x, making it mildly cheap.

We like WOW as defensive play, especially is we see a news driven spike down towards $30.

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Woolworths Group Ltd (WOW)
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