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A tough day for Aussie stocks with the ASX getting aggressively sold off throughout the session, the recent winners in Tech and Property were front and centre of the sell-off while the Resources were relative performers. We wrote this morning that we continue to expect “3-steps forward, 2-steps back” price action in the new quarter, but another 200-point pullback wouldn’t surprise us as the index rubs up against the overhead trendline that’s contained it through 2024, although we didn’t expect half of the move to come today. It seems there are often market peaks that correlate with the end of reporting periods i.e. each quarter, a trend we will do some more work around and update you on in coming notes.

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX shrugs off U.S market rout, closes flat.

The ASX opened on the backfoot this morning, however that was the worst of it, with strength amongst the miners and supermarkets offsetting weakness elsewhere. US Futures edged higher, and Asia was also well supported during our time zone, moving past the weakness we saw in US economic data on Friday.

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Morning report

Macro Monday: The Goldilocks Trade tailwind is being questioned

Since Trump unleashed chaos on global equities in April with his tariff bombshell, their recovery has been nothing short of remarkable. In just three months, the ASX200 and US S&P 500 have surged by +22% and +33% respectively. At MM, we’ve held a bullish stance through the recovery, but our confidence is now waning. The cornerstone of the stunning recovery has often been referred to as the “Goldilocks Scenario”.

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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: A weak US Jobs Report weighs on stocks ahead of reporting season

The ASX200 slipped 0.1% last week after a tough Friday session, but it still ended up 2.3% for July. Earnings season is upon us, and it's already started to exert its force on the market - It's not often you see an ASX200 stock halve in the blink of an eye! We have begun the seasonally weak August-September period for the ASX, and on cue, the index has started to feel a touch soft, although 2-days doesn't make a summer.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Soft end to a choppy week for the ASX

Tariffs were back impacting the ASX today after the Whitehouse said that it will maintain a minimum global levy of 10%, while imports from countries with a trade surplus with the US will face at least 15%.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

ETF Friday: ETFs to consider as the President hammers the Copper Traders

The ASX 200 ended the Thursday session down just 0.2%, recovering ~80% of its early decline, with winners and losers evenly matched. July lived up to its seasonal reputation, closing up +2.4%. If not for a -2.6% clobbering of the influential Materials Sector yesterday, we could easily have been trading at new highs.

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