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Viewpoint: Bullish

Z1P +16.95%: Lead the index’s gainers today with a big jump on some strong quarterly numbers. The digital payments company saw revenue climb 83% on year to $112m as transaction volume hit $1.6b – more than double that of 3Q20.

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The $A has slipped ~5% from its February high in very similar manner to the likes of BHP Group (BHP).

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Fortescue Metals (FMG) has corrected ~30% from recent highs, although they did pay a big $1.47 fully franked dividend (equivalent to $2.10 grossed for franking) so the actual decline is nearer ~20%.

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Silver is also looking very constructive here and potentially poised for a ~20% rally, we might see a flight to more defensive assets as we move towards the traditionally weak period for equities going into May.

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Gold bounced last week and is now ~4% above the lows, hardly an aggressive move at this stage and the jury is still out on whether or not it can break it’s currently intrenched downtrend.

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Not a lot of new news for the $A this week as it tracks back to the bottom of our targeted trading range which sits between 76c – 81c, hence by definition we are bullish short-term on the local currency which coincides with our bearish $US view.

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Last week’s rally was largely confined to the large caps with the Russell 2000 small cap index treading water following their 10% correction in early March.

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The MSCI World Index accelerated higher last week and after a couple of months of sideways price action the global benchmark has consistently made new highs trading up through our initial 2900 target level.

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It’s hard to talk growth stocks without mentioning online accounting provider Xero (XRO) and after ‘another’ 30% correction – who says markets don’t repeat – we remain bullish.

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MNY is a consumer finance business, they do things like car & personal loans both in Australia & New Zealand.

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