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Viewpoint: Bullish

The ASX200 outperformed most global indices last week rallying impressively towards its February high, a level which may be breached this morning following Fridays solid performance on Wall Street. We’ve held a net bullish / “buy the dip” stance through 2022 which feels the right approach as the markets set to test its February 7350 this morning, short-term the market looks & feels great with the 7600 level feeling a…

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The UK FTSE’ has recovered very strongly from its recent  12% correction with our ideal target around 8,000 still feeling very realistic i.e. now only 8% higher, this is an exciting read through for the highly correlated ASX.

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US stocks extended their strong week overnight  taking the S&P500 to its largest 3-day gain since late 2020 although news around Russia – Ukraine peace talks understandably continues to have a major influence on the markets intra-day swings. With geopolitics dominating investor’s focus the largest concern for markets currently centres around whether Russia will default on its debt over the coming weeks, a distinct possibility…

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The easiest stock to quantify our view towards the Australian banks is heavily owned and top performer CBA which has already rallied over 13% this month. Short-term we remain bullish CBA looking for fresh all-time highs in the $110-120 area but considering its strength so far this month we could be there in a fortnight!

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The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close up +1.1% enjoying further broad-based buying which saw 75% of the index close in positive territory for the day as we closed above the last 3-weeks high. Similar to US indices the ASX enjoyed some strong buying in the IT stocks following the Feds rate hike and hawkish comments which illustrated how crowded the anti-growth stance had become at the start of the week, remember the statistics…

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US stocks rallied overnight even after the Feds comments sent bond yields higher, the US 10 year yield hitting 2.24% before retreating to 2.18% in what looked distinctly like a blow off style top – time will tell on that call! We are sticking with our view that the S&P500 is “looking for a low” in the 4100-4200 area and now the Feds shown its hand & provided a more certain pathway stocks can enjoy a relief rally, after all MM discussed 7 hikes earlier in the week showing it was no major surprise.

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QAN has already bounced 17% from last weeks low when fears reached a crescendo around the Russia – Ukraine conflict. However what specifically caught our eye is the degree of the stocks $1.59 / 26% pullback, exactly what was witnessed through 2021.

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The ASX200 rallied strongly yesterday to close +1.1% on broad based buying and importantly an absence of meaningful selling – even the embattled Mining & Energy sectors reversed early loses to close marginally higher. However its was the tech names that finally performed the heavy lifting for the ASX with over 90% of the stock’s closing up on the day, assisting the sector post a healthy +3.3% gain. MM has been looking…

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We are looking to make an aggressive foray into US tech stocks via locally traded BetaShares NDQ, it’s not leveraged but we are looking for a quick 10-15% bounce

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A position we bought early on, and well, for the portfolio back in 2020 now feels frustrating given we have seen shares in the payments company have a crack at $4.40 on 3 separate occasions while it now languishes ~60% below its highs. Margins were in focus across the board in the latest reporting period, with any company hinting at a squeeze dealt a blow by the market & Tyro was no different. There are strong signs of growth though with…

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