The ASX200 finally enjoyed a strong week even after surrendering -0.8% on Friday, the local index still rounded out the 1st 5-days of October up +5.5%. I know it’s very early days but the bears shouldn’t dismiss the seasonal strength stocks have enjoyed through Q4 over the last 20-years especially when we consider the weakness through the first 9-months of the year. Last weeks main catalyst for strength in local stocks came from the RBA although US stocks gave a helping hand early on:
The ASX200 tumbled into the close on Friday ending September on the same note as most of the last 6-weeks, the greater than 500-point monthly decline has been primarily instigated by rhetoric from the Fed who turned very hawkish at the end of August following the Jackson Hole economic symposium, and ongoing comments from the board have maintained the pressure on risk assets ever since. Investors started last month focusing on rising interest rates before later worries also started to encompass fears around a recession into 2023, and specifically how deep/long will it be.
The ASX200 tumbled into the Feds FOMC meeting on Wednesday only to compound the losses throughout an awful session on Friday which ultimately resulted in the local market falling over -2.4% for the week, with all 11-sectors closing lower led by the interest rate sensitive Tech, Utilities, Real Estate and Consumer Discretionary Sectors - all of which fell around 5%, or more. The Fed and Bank of England combined forces to dash market hopes that interest rates were approaching their peak, if anything the fight against inflation has been ramped up:
The Fed hiked rates by 0.75% and the BOE by an aggressive 0.5%, which poses the question what next from the RBA in 2-weeks’ time?
The big shake up from the Fed was delivered by its rhetoric - Jerome Powell said that a “soft landing for the US economy will be very difficult to achieve” i.e. buckle up for a recession.
The last 3-days saw the ASX200 take a 270-point / 3.9% hammering as it followed global equities sharply lower after the US CPI inflation numbers came in well ahead of expectations dashing the markets increasing hopes that the Fed will ease off any time soon from its aggressive hiking path.
The ASX200 went on a rollercoaster ride last week with major swings in both directions as volatility reigned supreme, we saw a clear week of 2 halves with a strong rally on Friday ultimately resulting in a +1% gain for the index over the 5-days - a very impressive outcome considering where stocks finished up on Wednesday. In typical fashion post Covid it was central banks which drove the significant swings in market sentiment across stocks, bond yields, FX and commodity prices.
The ASX200 was clobbered last week firstly by last Fridays extremely hawkish statement from Jerome Powell out of Jackson Hole, which sent US 2-year bond yields to 15-year highs, plus the news’s later in the week that China had locked down a city of 21 million people following an outbreak of just 1,000 Covid cases – NSW had 4,169 reported cases yesterday and we’re now even allowing internal flights without masks! Resource stocks were some of the worst hit over the week, especially in the last few days, as iron ore hit a 10-month low and copper looks destined to test its 2-year low:
The ASX200 experienced a very choppy week as is common through reporting season with 8 stocks in the ASX 200finishing the week up by more than 10% while 7 companies disappointed investors by similarly registering double digit losses. It felt like a volatile week due to the significant swings on the stock level but the index itself only closed down just 10-points following Fridays solid session as we saw a very impressive period for the resources companies offset by weakness in the consumer staples & discretionary, communication and financial stocks – we remain in a market that feels comfortable to aggressively rotate between stocks & sectors but it has no interest increasing or decreasing its overall exposure to equities.
The ASX200 felt tired for much of last week but it still managed to rally & close at fresh 10-week highs courtesy of some solid buying across the resources stocks e.g. Whitehaven Coal (WHC) +11.2%, BHP Group (BHP) +7%, South32 (S32) +3.5% and IGO Ltd (IGO) +2.7%. Conversely 2 sectors which weigh on the index and general sentiment dragged the chain
The ASX200 struggled last week considering the theoretically strong tailwind from a weak US CPI print and no major blow-ups from the local reporting season, the index did manage to scale fresh 9-week highs but by Fridays close it had only managed to close up +0.2%. The Resources Sector helped keep the index in positive territory, significantly assisted by BHP’s bid for OZ Minerals (OZL), but what probably caught most investors off-guard was a more than 2% pullback by the tech & healthcare sectors even after the deceleration by the main US inflation indicator.
The ASX200 rallied another +1% last week but the upside momentum is slowly waning although we still enjoyed more than 80% of sectors closing in positive territory, the Tech Sector led the line rallying +3.25%. The month to month stock & sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings under the hood e.g. the Energy Sector has been the standout of 2022 yet now it finds itself almost friendless while the hammered growth names are rallying akin a popping champagne cork, last week illustrated this perfectly:
The ASX200 tumbled into the close on Friday ending September on the same note as most of the last 6-weeks, the greater than 500-point monthly decline has been primarily instigated by rhetoric from the Fed who turned very hawkish at the end of August following the Jackson Hole economic symposium, and ongoing comments from the board have maintained the pressure on risk assets ever since. Investors started last month focusing on rising interest rates before later worries also started to encompass fears around a recession into 2023, and specifically how deep/long will it be.
The ASX200 tumbled into the Feds FOMC meeting on Wednesday only to compound the losses throughout an awful session on Friday which ultimately resulted in the local market falling over -2.4% for the week, with all 11-sectors closing lower led by the interest rate sensitive Tech, Utilities, Real Estate and Consumer Discretionary Sectors - all of which fell around 5%, or more. The Fed and Bank of England combined forces to dash market hopes that interest rates were approaching their peak, if anything the fight against inflation has been ramped up:
The Fed hiked rates by 0.75% and the BOE by an aggressive 0.5%, which poses the question what next from the RBA in 2-weeks’ time?
The big shake up from the Fed was delivered by its rhetoric - Jerome Powell said that a “soft landing for the US economy will be very difficult to achieve” i.e. buckle up for a recession.
The last 3-days saw the ASX200 take a 270-point / 3.9% hammering as it followed global equities sharply lower after the US CPI inflation numbers came in well ahead of expectations dashing the markets increasing hopes that the Fed will ease off any time soon from its aggressive hiking path.
The ASX200 went on a rollercoaster ride last week with major swings in both directions as volatility reigned supreme, we saw a clear week of 2 halves with a strong rally on Friday ultimately resulting in a +1% gain for the index over the 5-days - a very impressive outcome considering where stocks finished up on Wednesday. In typical fashion post Covid it was central banks which drove the significant swings in market sentiment across stocks, bond yields, FX and commodity prices.
The ASX200 was clobbered last week firstly by last Fridays extremely hawkish statement from Jerome Powell out of Jackson Hole, which sent US 2-year bond yields to 15-year highs, plus the news’s later in the week that China had locked down a city of 21 million people following an outbreak of just 1,000 Covid cases – NSW had 4,169 reported cases yesterday and we’re now even allowing internal flights without masks! Resource stocks were some of the worst hit over the week, especially in the last few days, as iron ore hit a 10-month low and copper looks destined to test its 2-year low:
The ASX200 experienced a very choppy week as is common through reporting season with 8 stocks in the ASX 200finishing the week up by more than 10% while 7 companies disappointed investors by similarly registering double digit losses. It felt like a volatile week due to the significant swings on the stock level but the index itself only closed down just 10-points following Fridays solid session as we saw a very impressive period for the resources companies offset by weakness in the consumer staples & discretionary, communication and financial stocks – we remain in a market that feels comfortable to aggressively rotate between stocks & sectors but it has no interest increasing or decreasing its overall exposure to equities.
The ASX200 felt tired for much of last week but it still managed to rally & close at fresh 10-week highs courtesy of some solid buying across the resources stocks e.g. Whitehaven Coal (WHC) +11.2%, BHP Group (BHP) +7%, South32 (S32) +3.5% and IGO Ltd (IGO) +2.7%. Conversely 2 sectors which weigh on the index and general sentiment dragged the chain
The ASX200 struggled last week considering the theoretically strong tailwind from a weak US CPI print and no major blow-ups from the local reporting season, the index did manage to scale fresh 9-week highs but by Fridays close it had only managed to close up +0.2%. The Resources Sector helped keep the index in positive territory, significantly assisted by BHP’s bid for OZ Minerals (OZL), but what probably caught most investors off-guard was a more than 2% pullback by the tech & healthcare sectors even after the deceleration by the main US inflation indicator.
The ASX200 rallied another +1% last week but the upside momentum is slowly waning although we still enjoyed more than 80% of sectors closing in positive territory, the Tech Sector led the line rallying +3.25%. The month to month stock & sector rotation continues to dominate proceedings under the hood e.g. the Energy Sector has been the standout of 2022 yet now it finds itself almost friendless while the hammered growth names are rallying akin a popping champagne cork, last week illustrated this perfectly:
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