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Morning report

What Matters Today: Beijing pushes Iron Ore over US100/MT, fade or buy time?

The ASX 200 endured a choppy Monday before closing +0.1% higher, with the broader market remaining soft, but gains from heavyweights BHP, CBA and Woodside were enough to nudge the index into positive territory. The weekend's ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz helped the energy sector (+1.8%) dominate the winners' enclosure. In comparison, the ASX tech sector fell (-2.6%) as tech money moved from software stocks into semiconductors, which the ASX basically has none of.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX flat as tech weakness persists; Ingenia rejects Warburg Pincus bid and coal stocks fire up

The ASX 200 started the week slowly, with the U.S session on Friday night largely in the rearview mirror, and closed for tonight, there was little in the tank to drive a move either way as strength across Energy, Materials and the banks was cancelled out by weakness in Technology. The market remains firmly in post-reporting-season mode, with attention shifting back to oil, bond yields and central-bank policy to determine the next move.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

Macro Monday: Central banks look poised to rein in stocks over the coming weeks/months

Bond markets and central banks are back in focus after Friday night's August US jobs report came in far stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 162,000—more than triple consensus forecasts—while unemployment held steady at 4.1%. Labour-force participation also improved, and prior months were revised higher, reinforcing signs that the jobs market has rebounded from its early-summer softness, shifting attention firmly to this week’s CPI (inflation) data, with the resilient labour market increasing the prospect of a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Bond markets remain in focus after strong US Jobs Report on Friday night

The ASX 200 slipped 1% last week, with several major names trading ex-dividend, while sharp falls across Technology (-5.2%) and the influential miners (-4.6%) more than offset a return to the winners’ enclosure for Financials (+2%). The market remains in a holding pattern, which we feel is encouraging considering the macro and geopolitical headwinds from rising long-term bond yields to renewed private credit concerns after Bathla Group’s collapse and continued uncertainty around the next twist in the US-Iran conflict.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX edges lower as tech bounces and gold miners hold firm

The ASX 200 struggled to hold onto a positive start on Friday, giving back an early ~0.6% gain to trade slightly lower into the afternoon. The reversal was largely a resources story, with the heavyweight names dragging on the index, while Energy also weighed despite Brent.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
Morning report

ETF Friday: Comparing the nuances between LICs, LITs & ETFs

The ASX 200 bounced +0.5% on Thursday, regaining some of the previous session's steep losses as the heavyweight banks, ably supported by the miners, combined to lift the index, not a bad performance with BHP, Coles, Amco and Woodside all trading ex-dividend. To put the banks’ strength into perspective, the Big Four alone accounted for ~50% of the market’s advance on the day.

Morning report

What Matters Today: Do we already have the “bond rout” roadmap?

The ASX 200 was clobbered 1.0% on Wednesday as broad-based selling rolled through the local bourse as surging global bond yields continued to dominate the financial press. More than 70% of the main board retreated, with the tech (-3.4%) and materials (-3.1%) vying for the wooden spoon as risk-off sentiment was evident across the market - the defensive-oriented consumer staples (+0.8%) were not surprisingly the best-performing sector.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Bond yields and oil rattle the ASX as miners and tech weigh

The ASX came under pressure today as another surge in oil and global bond yields weighed on risk appetite. Crude oil pushed higher as tensions between the US and Iran escalated, adding to inflation concerns at a time when global central banks are already leaning increasingly hawkish.

The Match Out Market Matters 2
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