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A tough session for equities to end the week and after twice making new all-time highs the ASX200 finds itself XX% for the week, well under the psychical 8000 level after testing 8150 on Thursday morning. A heavy fall on Wall Street set the tone and as recession fears escalated after weak US economic data tipped the scales away from the heavily embraced “Goldilocks” view. With over 90% of the index closing lower the ASX was unable to bounce weighed down by the resources and miners. Considering the markets more than 2% drop the index traded in a tight range into the weekend ahead of local reporting season which kicks off in earnest next week.

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Latest Reports

Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: Eyes down as reporting season kicks into gear

The ASX200 surrendered its early gains on Tuesday to end marginally lower after being up almost 60-points early in the session. Eight of 11 local sectors ended the session higher, as strong miners, energy, and IT stocks offset a 1.1% slump in the financial sector, with the insurers weak and bank selling gathering momentum during the day.

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Insurance stocks become latest AI casualty as ASX edges lower

A mixed session for the ASX played out under the hood today with tech the clear standout and miners remaining firm after a strong start to the week as the bourse closed on the low of the day and almost +60pts from its high. Insurance stocks were hit as fresh fears emerged around AI disruption in the insurance-broking industry, with banks following suit into the afternoon.

Morning report

Macro Monday: Astronomical AI spending reverberates through global equities

What a week. Markets ran for cover as fears mounted that artificial intelligence (AI) could render many software business models redundant, or at least sharply devalue them. The issue was compounded by the fact that many of these software names were trading on lofty valuations in the anticipation of unrelenting growth. The potential risk of contraction compared to expansion has seen numerous household names halve in value over the last 6 months, from Xero and WiseTech on the ASX to Atlassian and Adobe in the US.

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: Volatility surges & reporting season is only getting started

The ASX 200 ended a volatile week down -1.8%, but it felt far worse on Friday when the index tumbled more than 2% - at least it should recover half of those losses on Monday morning. We received a rate hike last week, but it hardly registered with investors, focusing on three major themes: • The disruption by AI across the software sector, with negative sentiment spreading to tech in general. • Profit-taking in the commodity markets with silver plunging over 16% in just a matter of hours. • Risk off in general with Bitcoin plunging to its lowest level since late 2024.

Morning report

ETF Friday: Looking at the market’s volatility through the eye of an ETF lens

The ASX 200 had a fairly quiet day at the index level, while at the stock/sector level, it was like Guy Fawkes night, with fireworks flying in every direction. Thursday's session saw further aggressive selling across the high-flying resources, while some recently out-of-favour stocks came back into favour as selective bargain hunting played out across the ASX. Perhaps some switching/rotation is taking hold as commodity prices look to cool.

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