The Match Out: ASX falls, RBA steps away from yield targets, Commodities in the cross hairs today

While the short odds favourite failed to get up in the cup today, the decision by the RBA at 2.30pm this afternoon to scrap yield targets and remove guidance for 2024 rate hikes was expected and that saw both bond yields and the AUD tick lower post the announcement.

The ASX was soft during early trade today, it bounced as the RBA took some uncertainty away but that didn’t last long and we sold off into the close, the material stocks providing the biggest drag as China facing commodities took a beating, Iron Ore limit down and Coal prices continued to slide. Don’t fight the PBOC the clear message at the moment!

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Weekend report 15/11/2025 09:47

Weekend Q&A: Corporate Australia and the Fed steal the ASX’s “Mojo”

The ASX 200 ended the week down 1.5% trading at its lowest level since July, with the vast majority of the damage unfolding on Friday. The week ended with the local market suffering its worst day in 10 weeks amid a global pullback in risk assets. Hawkish comments by Fed officials on Thursday night dialled back expectations that they would cut rates in December, sending rate-sensitive stocks lower. The tech, financial, and real estate sectors were the worst performers, while the materials and energy names again led the line, gaining 3.8% and 1.9%, respectively

Afternoon report 14/11/2025 17:34

The Match Out: ASX suffers worst week since March

The Australian market copped another heavy bout of selling today, with sentiment rattled by growing fears that interest rates in both the US and Australia aren’t coming down any time soon. The move follows Wall Street’s largest one-day fall in a month and caps the ASX’s worst week since March.

Alerts 14/11/2025 16:51

Trade Alert – Active Growth Portfolio

We are making two changes to the growth portfolio today.

Morning report 14/11/2025 09:39

ETF Friday: Navigating the volatile resources through the lens of ETFs

Volatility is on the increase in equities, but it's already been high in recent months across the commodity markets, from precious metals to lithium and copper. The moves have been significant as investors and traders have battled with the usual supply and demand fundamentals, combined with the almost random-like comments coming out of the Whitehouse. However, while the resources sector hasn’t been for the fainthearted, it has outperformed in 2025, with the Materials Index up 24% year-to-date, while the previously much-loved tech space is down 11%. This morning, we updated our views across 6 commodities using related ETFs as the need to keep our finger on the pulse increases.

Afternoon report 13/11/2025 17:06

The Match Out: Stronger employment sniffs out chance of a rate cut this year, DroneShield whacked as CEO shows no faith

The ASX200 dropped sharply today, falling to a ten-week low after a strong jobs report dashed hopes of near-term RBA rate cuts, sending the rate-sensitive real estate and tech sectors down. The roaring gold sector provided a buffer, while the psychological 8700 level proved itself as a support, with a broad ~55pt rally softening the blow into the close.

Morning report 13/11/2025 10:04

What Matters Today: The New Energy Stack for AI

The ASX200 closed down 0.2% on Wednesday, reversing early gains and closing below the psychological 8800 level. Over 50% of the main board closed higher, but another 3% drop by CBA was enough to drag the index lower, with Australia's largest bank now over 17% below its June high.

Afternoon report 13/11/2025 08:38

The Match Out: ASX falls late, Min Res rips on asset sale

The ASX finished lower today with decent sessions from miners and energy stocks more than offset by weakness in technology and financials, as selling in CBA struck again, capping broader momentum.

Morning report 12/11/2025 09:36

Portfolio Positioning: CBA drags the ASX into the red all on its own

The ASX200 started Tuesday in an encouraging fashion, up ~0.5%, as the US government neared a reopening deal, before the index reversed to close down 17 points, or 0.2%. The weakness was almost entirely down to CBA, even though winners outstripped losers by 2:1, when the ASX's largest stock tumbles 6.6%, the local bourse is going to struggle to close higher.

Afternoon report 11/11/2025 17:22

The Match Out: CBA sinks the ASX on soft quarterly

The ASX200 wavered through Tuesday’s session, opening up strongly after steps toward a resolution for the U.S government shutdown saw U.S markets rip overnight.

Morning report 11/11/2025 09:45

What Matters Today: The unheralded mining services names continue to kick goals

The ASX 200 rallied strongly on Monday, closing up +0.8% with 70% of the main board finishing higher. The local bourse enjoyed a strong tailwind from US futures and commodity prices as risk markets bounced on the news of the imminent end to the US government shutdown.