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The markets keyed off the last hour of yesterdays session and fell away progressively throughout the day, and from a technical perspective, the bullish new high at 8446 that has now potentially failed is at risk of being a false breakout, a bearish pattern.
The ASX200 was soaring towards 8450 around 3pm yesterday afternoon before an aggressive sell order swept through the market, leaving it up 74-points/0.9%; it still sounds like a great day, but in the last hour on Tuesday, over half of the day’s gains had been wiped out.
Tuesday was an excellent session for the ASX200, with over 70% of stocks closing higher as the index surged to new all-time highs. MM has been targeting the 8500-8600 area by Christmas; we’re starting to look too conservative!
The ASX200 recovered from early losses on Monday morning to close up +0.25%, an encouraging performance after a weak session in the US on Friday night.
It was a mixed but ultimately positive session for the ASX, with ~65% of the main board advancing. From a points perspective, the miners led the way, while the “Big Four Banks” were up and down, with CBA catching the eye falling over $2.
US stocks ended last week on the back foot, with the broad-based S&P500 down -2.1 % over the 5-days while the NASDAQ fared worse, falling -3.4%. Trump’s landslide victory initially propelled US stocks higher as deregulation and lower corporate taxes set the bulls charging.
Overseas indices ended the week poorly, with the post-election rally losing steam. The Dow ended over 300-points, while the NASDAQ led the decline, down 2.4%. European equities fared better, with the EURO STOXX 50 slipping 0.8 while the FTSE closed down just 0.1%. Declines in pharmaceutical stocks weighed on the Dow and the S&P 500, after Trump said he planned to nominate vaccine sceptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to lead the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
10/11 sectors made gains today with 70% of the main board closing higher, though once again, we’re seeing a narrow band of winners that are driving the index with the ASX200 now only 100pts below its all-time high.
The ASX200 snapped its three-day losing streak on Thursday, helped by increased bets on a Fed rate cut in December following the inline US inflation print. Locally, Australia’s unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.1% in October, which was also in line with expectations and had little impact on domestic bonds or the $A.
Another mixed but ultimately positive session for the ASX, with IT, Financials & Consumer Discretionary leading the way thanks to new all-time highs for Xero (XRO) $172.94, Comm Bank (CBA) $152.84 & JB Hi-Fi (JBH) $88.37 as valuations get stretched ever higher, while the resources remain holed up in the naughty corner.
