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Equities were on the run again today as investors look to the Biden inauguration tonight, heralding the expected reduced volatility that comes with a post-Trump world. The local market closed at a new post-March high, on the brink of breaking out. Tech was the standout – led by Afterpay closing at a new record on the back of an initiation we discuss below. Despite the strength though, the big 4 banks took a breather with all closing lower on the session resulting in the financials being the worst of the sectors.
Miners continue to be in focus with a raft of quarterly production reports coming through – the gold names kick off tomorrow but BHP was centre stage today. UBS were running the numbers on real estate today, and while are reasonably keen on the sector as low interest rates and a vaccine recovery take place, they so see the retail reopening trade as largely complete and downgraded VCX & SCG.
The ASX 200 finished up 27pts / 0.41% to close at 6770. Dow Futures are trading off -17pts / -0.06%.

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report

The Match Out: Commodities weigh on ASX as Trump restarts the tariff engine

Someone seems to have told Trump about the TACO term (Trump Always Chickens Out) which has gotten him firing again with higher tariffs on Steel imports and accusations that China is not holding up its end of the bargain, reducing tariffs while negotiations take place.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday: Can the ASX make new highs into the EOFY?

Yet again, the “sell in May & go away” catchphrase played out as the myth that the statistics foretold. Although the stellar 3.8% gain was the second-best of the last decade. The most critical point when it comes to considering the seasonality of the ASX200 is to “Keep it Simple, Stupid” (KISS) with our favourite three factors looking forward towards Christmas.

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Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: As we approach the EOFY, the ASX200 is flirting with its all-time high

The ASX 200 rallied on the final trading day of May, closing up +0.3% for the session, leaving the index just ~2% below its all-time high. Overall, an excellent performance by the Australian bourse, advancing +3.8% for the month, shrugging off the ongoing uncertainty around tariffs and rising long-dated bond yields. However, a more dovish than expected RBA, a strong banking sector, suspicions of overseas buying, and a market caught underweight stocks after their dramatic “V-shaped” recovery from Trump's “Liberation Day” was enough to drive the local market back towards the 8600 area. With pullbacks well supported in one of the most hated bullish advances that we can recall, it makes for a compelling argument that new highs are just around the corner.

Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Fixed Income ETFs

The ASX 200 closed marginally higher on Thursday, and as we enter the last trading day of May, the index is up +3.5% with only the utilities sector dragging the chain. Although it's been a stellar month, yesterday's performance was a touch disappointing considering the global tailwinds.

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Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX creeps higher as U.S trade court trumps tariffs… for now

The local market edged higher today after opening mildly weaker, lifted by strength in energy and tech stocks. A strong result from Nvidia pre-market sparked bullish sentiment toward AI enabling a +1.9% jump in NASDAQ futures, while the U.S Court of International Trade ruled against the Trump-imposed tariffs, fuelling ~30pt lift on the ASX mid-morning.

The Match Out Market Matters
Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX cools, Goodman reconfirms guidance, MinRes cuts production

The market opened on the firm side, pushing to a new high in this recent recovery, before sellers took control post a very mildly hotter monthly inflation read. It actually felt more like index selling that dominated today, shown through both the financials and materials being the weakest links, with selling persisting throughout the afternoon.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: The Energy Sector is warming up nicely

The ASX 200 failed to build on a strong session on Wall Street, finishing down 0.1% on Wednesday, with weakness in the banks more than offsetting broader buying, as over 55% of the main board closed higher.

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