US equities might be hovering near their 6-month low after the S&P500’s 25% decline but the VIX, or fear gauge, has already dropped over 15% suggesting traders believe any further short-term weakness will be limited. This sort of divergence near a low for stocks is often the sign that a bounce is coming as the professional money starts to remove its bearish bets but we caution it’s more of a supporting characteristic as opposed to a lone trigger to start buying.
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Monthly Update: Portfolio performance and positioning during October
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Thursday 11th September – Dow off -220pts, SPI off -20pts
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Buy Hold Sell: The best and worst performers of FY25
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Wednesday 10th September – Dow up +196pts, SPI down -4pts
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