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Medibank Private Ltd (MPL) $4.42

Thursday saw health insurer MPL soar +9.95% to a record high after reporting better first-half profits on more substantial margins in its health insurance business. This was all before the health minister approved the hike; MPL is set to increase prices by 4% on “April Fool’s Day.”

  • Revenue of $4.27bn was up +6.8% YoY but slightly below the $4.29bn estimated.
  • Underlying net profit after tax up 13.8% to $298.7 million, above estimates.
  • An interim dividend of 7.8c was declared, up +8.3% YoY.

Overall, this is a solid result for MPL, which is in control of claims, with Private Health Insurance (PHI) margins up +0.5% above analyst estimates. However, like the trends in general insurance, we question whether or not this is “as good as it gets”.

  • We like MPL as a defensive play, with a forecasted 4% fully franked yield over the next 12 months, though we’re reticent to chase it post a ~10% rally yesterday.
MPL
MM likes MPL around $4.40
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Medibank Private Ltd (MPL)
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