The $US edged lower last week in sync with 2-year yields, we remain bearish toward the $US, but after bouncing as we expected, if/when it turns lower is harder to forecast at this stage of the cycle.
- We remain net bearish towards the $US, but the short-term war in Israel is likely to keep the Greenback firm.
The Pound is now testing its major support of the last six months, we believe following the pullback, it’s now delivering excellent risk/reward for the bulls – an outlook which coincides with a pullback in the $US and bond yields.
- Over the next few years, we are looking for the Pound to test the 1.40 area, its post-COVID high.