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Australian Investment Blog

Afternoon Report 04/10/2017

Local stocks yet again fail to follow the global positive lead – CYB, STO, RRL

This morning, the futures market was indicating an open ~15-points higher for the ASX200, but the big selling returned to the futures market early in the day and we found ourselves down over 40-points / 0.7% by midday. Today’s selling was broad based with particular weakness in the banks / financials, energy, retail / supermarkets and the iron ore sector with a relief bounce for insurance stocks catching the eye on the upside. While the aggressive futures selling persists, it’s hard to envisage our market managing anything but relatively small counter-trend bounces and a thrust under 5600 feels like just a matter of time.

Overall, today’s weakness comes as no major surprise to MM as we are targeting a break to the downside from the current 20-week trading range between 5629 and 5836 with our ideal target a test of the psychological 5500 area.

Today we sent out 2 alerts which were filled in the market plus we are still working a sell order in CYBG Plc (CYB) to sell half our holding at $5.30, these are explained later in the report. Our cash position in the MM Growth Portfolio is now at 14%.

The ASX 200 had a range of +/- 51 points, a high of 5702, a low of 5651 and a close of 5652, -49 points / -0.87%

ASX 200 Intraday Chart

ASX 200 Daily Chart

1 CYBG Plc (CYB) $5.21

We remain overall bullish CYB, but are comfortable taking profit on 50% of our position recently at our initial target around the $5.30 level, at this stage we do not envisage lowering our sell level.

CYBG Plc (CYB) Weekly Chart

2 Santos (STO) $3.97

Today Santos fell into our buy area, identified last week around the $3.95 area. We have allocated 3% of our portfolio to STO at $3.95, eventually targeting close to $4.50, plus we may consider averaging the position ~$3.75.

Santos (STO) Daily Chart

3 Regis Resources (RRL) $3.65

Today we dipped our toe into the water and allocated 3% of the MM Growth Portfolio into RRL around $3.66. We are looking for a ~10% rally which may coincide with some short-term weakness in equities – RRL will often move in an opposite direction to the overall market.

Regis Resources (RLL) Weekly Chart

Have a great night

The Market Matters Team

Disclosure

Market Matters may hold stocks mentioned in this report. Subscribers can view a full list of holdings on the website by clicking here. Positions are updated each Friday.

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All figures contained from sources believed to be accurate. Market Matters does not make any representation of warranty as to the accuracy of the figures and disclaims any liability resulting from any inaccuracy. Prices as at 4/10/2017 5.00PM.

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