Portfolio Amendments – Emerging Companies Portfolio
We are reducing exposure in the Emerging Companies Portfolio
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Undervalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 2 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 1.08 Fair value 1.57 One-star price 2.27
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 2 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 2 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (1.08) to the one-star price (2.27).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): AUD/AUD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 0.71 |
| Price - 12 month high | 1.23 |
| Price - 12 month low | 0.61 |
| Pricing date | 2 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 4.90 |
| Market capitalization | 1,125.89 |
| 12 Month High price date | 3 FEB 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 15 OCT 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 6.60 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | 2.16% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | -26.04% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | -24.06% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 5.97% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -38.79% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -36.04% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 3.65% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.214 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.214 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 0.089 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 1.379 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 1.379 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.746 |
| Book value per share - most recent half-year | 0.746 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | -0.109 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent half-year | -0.109 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.058 |
| Cash per share - most recent half-year | 0.058 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.102 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.102 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.075 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | -0.246 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.214 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.214 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.323 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.323 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.022 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | — |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 7.98 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.51 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | — |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 31.82 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 6.98 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 0.95 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 18.48 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 12.61 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 115.12 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 1,577.38 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 6.07% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 11.19% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 10.56% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 35.58 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 129.19% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 141.12% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent half-year | 14.41% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent half-year | 16.60% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 35.58 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 2,198.97 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 2,198.97 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | -391.72 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | -391.72 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | -480.45 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | -480.45 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 511.29 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 511.29 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | -21.76 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 142.36 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 0.09 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | -15.41% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | -15.41% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | -19.95% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | -19.95% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | -21.85% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | -21.85% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 5.70% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 3.91% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 7.82% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 1.62% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 2.73% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | -9.68% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | -9.68% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | -23.09% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | -23.09% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 3.12% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 6.93% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | -1.16% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | 26.25% |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | -13.21% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 0.17% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | -6.55% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | 42.86% |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | -6.86% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 6.20% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | — |
Financial forecast (AUD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | ||||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (AUD, millions)
| Period end: | JUN 22 | JUN 23 | JUN 24 | JUN 25 | JUN 26 |
| Fiscal year: | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
| DATE | TIME | HEADING | PAGES |
| Price sensitive |
We are reducing exposure in the Emerging Companies Portfolio
NEC held an investor day last week to cover life after the sale of Domain, where Management doubled down on the strategy of extracting more value from its Digital assets - particularly Stan, 9Now, and Digital Publishing (with the AFR a standout performer). The company also highlighted longer-term upside from AI-driven content monetisation and digitisation of archival news assets.
NEC was the second-worst-performing stock on the main board today, closing down 12.2% following yesterday's announcement of its FY results. We felt the sell off was overdone:
US listed CoStar Group (CSGP US) has entered into a binding agreement to buy the remaining 83% of Domain's (DHG) shares it does not already own at $4.43 per share, valuing Domain at an enterprise value of around $3bn.
NEC +3.68%: Reported a softer operational result year-on-year, in-line on revenue but impressing on guidance around cost-control and efficiencies moving forward.
A week after UBS downgraded Nine Entertainment (NEC) to Neutral from Buy, a positive update from Seven West (SWM) prompted a big re-rate in media stocks, with Nine up +14% yesterday, smashing UBS’s new 12-month target less than a week after they published it.
NEC shares edged up +0.75% on Wednesday after they reported a ~20% decline in profits courtesy of weakness in advertising, however, there were some green shoots coming through this result as they progressively move towards a digital platform business relative to an older style media business;
NEC +1.33%: the media group presented at the Macquarie Conference today, providing a quarterly update alongside the presentation which was broadly better than feared. The Metro Free To Air (FTA) market has been contracting for several quarters with another 13% fall in Q3, though this was better than the ‘mid-teens decline’ guided by Nine at the half-year update and the company continues to win market share.
NEC posted a strong 1H in February, but its marginally disappointing outlook has continued to weigh on the stock over recent months. Once the market puts you in a naughty corner, it's hard to escape! We purchased the stock in late 2022, and while its dividend yield of around 6%, fully franked, has enabled us to be patient towards this turnaround story, it has been a frustrating journey so far.
NEC -8.70%: the media group posted strong 1H numbers today, however, a marginally disappointing outlook weighed on shares. Revenue was a slight beat, however EBITDA was ~4% ahead of expectations at $316m vs $302m. TV, including 9Now, met expectations, Radio was a small miss made up by a small beat in publishing
MM is selling NEC in the Emerging Companies Portfolio, taking profit around $1.13
MM has moved to a neutral stance on NEC ~$1.10
MM is long and cautiously bullish NEC
MM remains positive on NEC pending the DHG sale
MM remains long and bullish NEC
MM remains cautiously bullish & long NEC
MM is cautiously bullish NEC
MM is bullish and long NEC in the Emerging Companies Portfolio
MM remains patiently long NEC in the Emerging Companies Portfolio
MM remains long and bullish NEC
Nine Entertainment is the largest media conglomerate in Australia. It operates Nine Network, a free-to-air TV network across five capital cities, as well as in some regional areas. It owns 9Now, a leading broadcast video-on-demand business. Its publishing business is the second-largest newspaper group in Australia with key mastheads such as Australian Financial Review, Sydney Morning Herald, and The Age. Nine also operates a leading domestic-owned subscription video-on-demand business in Australia called Stan, and a talk-based radio network. In March 2026, Nine completed the purchase of outdoor advertising entity QMS Media for AUD 850 million.
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