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Overvalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 210.77 Fair value 280.56 One-star price 373.45
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 4 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (210.77) to the one-star price (373.45).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): USD/USD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 427.34 |
| Price - 12 month high | 493.11 |
| Price - 12 month low | 162.00 |
| Pricing date | 3 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 2.22 |
| Market capitalization | 106,919.81 |
| 12 Month High price date | 19 OCT 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 1 JAN 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 2.53 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | -0.71% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | 39.19% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | 73.61% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | -1.98% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | 118.26% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | 160.86% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 1.19% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 13.220 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 50.470 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 10.700 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 433.657 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 600.687 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 58.771 |
| Book value per share - most recent quarter | 84.396 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 40.794 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent quarter | 65.425 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 12.464 |
| Cash per share - most recent quarter | 46.564 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 28.503 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 73.347 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | 3.730 |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 4.000 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 86.460 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 13.240 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 50.590 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 13.240 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 50.640 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 58.203 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 7.78 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 7.90 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.65 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | 9.52 |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 6.75 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 5.35 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 4.65 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 21.29 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 7.78 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 20,845.00 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 30,686.00 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 1.98% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 0.93% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 1.02% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 5,236.00 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 130.77% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | 28.21% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 142.65% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent quarter | 113.31% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent quarter | 115.42% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 16,937.00 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | 7.92% |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 132,699.00 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 174,800.00 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 11,519.00 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 25,160.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | 7,015.00 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 20,530.00 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 4,043.00 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 14,630.00 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 6,826.00 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 49.71 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.43% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 9.29% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.35% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 11.36% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 11.74% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 5.29% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 6.02% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 6.58% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 6.38% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 9.69% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 5.35% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | 7.24% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 17.96% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | 34.51% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 86.92% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 10.38% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 39.96% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | 317,729.73 |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | 7,172,918.92 |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 13.72% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | — |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 14.42% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 32.17% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | -9.23% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | -22.24% |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | 11.50% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 4.58% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | — |
Financial forecast (USD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | ||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (USD, millions)
| Period end: | DEC 21 | DEC 22 | DEC 23 | DEC 24 | DEC 25 |
| Fiscal year: | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
Announcements are available for ASX-listed companies only.
We turned our attention to Marathon Petroleum (MPC US) this morning because it has a similar market cap to Hess Corporation (HES US) that Chevron has just moved on, i.e. HES ~$US48bn and MCP ~$US59bn. MCP has been a major outperformer post-COVID, advancing 10x compared to Exxon and Chevron, which have advanced around 3x.
MM is neutral MPC around $US150
Marathon Petroleum is a leading integrated downstream and midstream energy company that operates 13 refineries in the Gulf Coast, midcontinent, and West Coast regions of the United States with an aggregate crude oil refining capacity of 3.0 million barrels per day. The company is one of the largest producers of renewable diesel in the US; its Dickinson, North Dakota, facility has the capacity to produce 184 million gallons per year, and its Martinez, California, joint venture facility (a 50/50 partnership with Neste) reached its full capacity of 730 million gallons per year in late 2024. Marathon also owns the general partner and approximately 64% of MPLX LP, a large-cap master limited partnership that owns and operates midstream energy infrastructure and logistics assets.
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