Collins Foods (CKF) $8.25
CKF -4.29% had a tough time today after a softer than expected 1st half FY25 result.
Collins Foods (CKF)
CKF $9.27
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Performance
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Share price activity
Displays share price activity. Volume = number of shares traded, Turnover = value of shares traded, VWAP = volume-weighted average price for the day, sourced from Morningstar.
- Last (Price)
- 9.27
- Change
- ▲ 0.07 (0.76)
- Bid / Ask
- 9.26 - 9.28
- Volume
- 547,261
- Turnover
- 5,057,404
- Open
- 9.26
- Day Range
- 9.15 - 9.34
- VWAP
- 9.24
- Prev Close
- 9.20
- Last Trade
- 05/11 4:10pm
Key information
Displays key information on the security, sourced from Morningstar.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Shares Issued
- 118,440,689
- NTA/Share
- -0.66
- Last Dividend
- 0.15
- Dividend Ex Date
- 13 JUL 2026
- Dividend Pay Date
- 11 AUG 2026
Current (AUD) · FY2026
Displays key financial data for the most recent fiscal year, in millions. Note - Per share data is in local currency terms irrespective of reporting currency, and may be different to the stated currency, sourced from Morningstar.
- Revenue
- 1,592.62
- EBITDA
- 225.70
- Profit
- 44.15
- Earnings Per Share (EPS)
- 0.37
- Dividend Per Share (DPS)
- 0.28
- Yield %
- 3.10
- Market Cap
- 1,097.95
- Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E)
- 23.49
Estimates (AUD) · FY2027
Displays consensus analyst’s estimates for key measures for the next fiscal year, sourced from Morningstar.
- Revenue
- 1,702.00
- EBITDA
- 257.10
- Profit
- 63.10
- Earnings Per Share (EPS)
- 0.53
- Dividend Per Share (DPS)
- 0.30
Quantitative rating
Displays Morningstar’s Quantitative Equity Research Rating for the security: a star rating from 1 (overvalued) to 5 (undervalued) from the share price against a fair value estimated by a statistical model of Morningstar’s analyst ratings, with the model’s economic moat, financial health and fair value uncertainty, sourced from Morningstar.
Undervalued
- Economic Moat
- None
- Financial Health
- Moderate
- Uncertainty
- High
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 30 OCT 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Fair value estimate
Displays Morningstar’s quantitative fair value estimate for the security against the current share price, with the band around it: the five-star price below which the model would rate the stock five stars and the one-star price above which it would rate it one star, sourced from Morningstar.
Five-star price 9.94 Fair value 11.64 One-star price 13.64
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 30 OCT 2026.
Quantitative valuation
Displays where the share price sits in Morningstar’s quantitative fair value band, from the five-star price (undervalued) to the one-star price (overvalued), with the fair value estimate, the price to fair value ratio, the model’s valuation label and its uncertainty rating, sourced from Morningstar.
Buy
Sell
- Fair Value
- 11.64
- Price / Fair Value
- 0.78
- Valuation
- Undervalued
- Uncertainty
- High
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 30 OCT 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (9.94) to the one-star price (13.64).
Displays useful ratios for the security, NB the pricing date used, sourced from Morningstar.
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): AUD/AUD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.0000 |
Price, volume and trading statistics for the security, sourced from Morningstar.
| Price - closing or last bid | 9.03 |
| Price - 12 month high | 12.73 |
| Price - 12 month low | 7.59 |
| Pricing date | 29 OCT 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 0.24 |
| Market capitalization | 1,069.52 |
| 12 Month High price date | 2 DEC 2025 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 25 SEP 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 0.25 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | 2.15% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | 11.07% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | 9.99% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | 2.73% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -17.16% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -12.92% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | 15.33% |
Earnings, dividends, cash flow and book value per share, sourced from Morningstar.
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.395 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.395 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 0.515 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 13.346 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 13.346 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 3.570 |
| Book value per share - most recent half-year | 3.535 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | -0.656 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent half-year | -0.798 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.795 |
| Cash per share - most recent half-year | 0.861 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 1.258 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 1.258 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.280 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 1.891 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.399 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.399 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | 0.374 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | 0.374 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.802 |
Valuation multiples such as P/E, price to sales, price to book and enterprise value ratios, sourced from Morningstar.
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | 22.86 |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | 17.55 |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.68 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | — |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 11.26 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 7.18 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 2.53 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | 157.84 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | 19.42 |
| Net Debt, LFI | 780.60 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 748.88 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 2.83% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | 3.14% |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 3.10% |
Cash flow, liquidity and leverage measures, sourced from Morningstar.
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 95.67 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 188.08% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 199.84% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent half-year | 198.75% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent half-year | 211.47% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 95.67 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
Key income statement lines for the most recent fiscal year, in millions, sourced from Morningstar.
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 1,592.62 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 1,592.62 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 225.70 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 225.70 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | 68.83 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 68.83 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | 44.15 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | 44.15 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 77.14 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 61.40 |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 0.51 |
Profitability margins for the most recent fiscal year, sourced from Morningstar.
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | 2.96% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 2.96% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 6.64% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 6.64% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 4.32% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 4.32% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 6.10% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 3.95% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 6.30% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 6.01% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 2.55% |
Returns on average assets and equity for the fiscal year, the trailing 12 months and as 5 year averages, and net income and revenue per employee in whole currency, sourced from Morningstar.
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | 3.20% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 3.20% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | 11.39% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 11.39% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 2.90% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 9.66% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
Growth in revenue, earnings, dividends and book value over recent periods, sourced from Morningstar.
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 8.36% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | 5.63% |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | 1.22% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 7.96% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | 5.70% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | 50.66% |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | 2.78% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 2.88% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | 5.25% |
Displays analyst’s forecasts for key measures. The estimates can be expanded to see the spread of the calls. Full lines = reported, and dotted lines are forward estimates. Click a measure to add or remove it from the chart, sourced from Morningstar.
Financial forecast (AUD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | |||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financial metrics can be plotted on the graph to see trends. Multiple metrics from multiple statements can be plotted against each other, sourced from Morningstar.
Financials (AUD, millions)
| Period end: | APR 22 | APR 23 | APR 24 | APR 25 | APR 26 |
| Fiscal year: | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Displays all company announcements released by the company to the exchange, sourced from Morningstar.
Announcements
| DATE | TIME | HEADING | PAGES |
| Price sensitive |
Opinion
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $7.68
CKF -12.93% following a trading update when CKF said in the first 16 weeks of FY25 (to 18 August 2024), total sales had grown by 1.1%. However, the profit benefit of higher sales was more than offset by the impact of persistent inflation on its cost of sales, labour and energy. For the first 16 weeks of the FY25, the total company sales of the KFC operator grew by only 1.1% over the prior corresponding period.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $8.57
CKF owns KFC and Taco Bell franchises, which will compete with the freshly listed Guzma Y Gomez (GYG). Not only are we seeing increased competition in the space, but as we touched on, demand per capita may slip, although population growth is a positive tailwind. We discussed CKF in June, concluding we were neutral around $9. This stance hasn’t changed, and if anything we are on the bearish side of the ledger.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $9.30
CKF owns KFC and Taco Bell franchises, which will compete with GYG. However, it didn’t enjoy any residual buying from the phenomenal IPO on Thursday, with the stock remaining close to its 2024 low, down over 20% year-to-date. In its FY24 first-half result, CKF demonstrated KFC Australia SSS (same-store sales) growth of 6.6% and KFC Europe SSS growth of 8.8%.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $9.44
KFC and Taco Bell franchise owner CKF is up +36% year-to-date aided by a beat on FY23 earnings in June, with revenue up 14% to $1.35bn and NPAT of $51.9mn around 8% better than expected as unlike many businesses
Collins Foods (CKF) $9.25
CKF +17.68%: the owner of KFC and Taco Bell franchises rallied to a 6-month high today following a beat on FY23 results released this morning. Revenue was up 14% to $1.35b, though Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) fell to $51.9m. Despite this, the fall was better than feared, coming in around ~8% above consensus expectations.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $8.72
CKF is the largest KFC franchisee in Australia, with over 228 outlets plus the company is rolling out KFCs across Germany and the Netherlands, it has also entered into a development agreement to build 50 Taco Bell restaurants over the next 3 years in QLD, WA and VIC.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $8.31
CKF has endured a tough 18 months basically halving in price as the operator of KFC and Taco Bell in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands failed to meet earnings expectations, especially in late 2022 following the company’s half-year result – the largest issue was management flagging that rising inflation was likely to pressure margins through 2023. However, it was encouraging to see insiders buying, 4 directors bought parcels in the $40k-$80 region, better than the other side of the ledger – insiders now own over 8% of CKF.
Collins Foods Ltd (CKF) $7.26
Last Saturday we discussed CKF following a subscribers question, our conclusion was fairly straightforward but last week’s price action reiterates a current market characteristic that’s been fairly dominant throughout 2022:
Collins Foods (CKF) $9.97
CKF +11.52%: Full-year results out for the KFC franchise owner today were impressive despite what was largely expected to be a soft period. Revenue was a slight beat at $1.18b, but NPAT was around 5% ahead of expectations and up 68% in the year. Same-store sales growth was strong across the board for KFC Australia (+1.4%) and Europe (~17%), though the junior Taco Bell segment saw negative comps. Margins were solid...
Action
Updated
03/12/2024
17:01
CKF
Updated 03/12/2024 17:01
MM remains neutral CKF
Updated
23/08/2024
09:37
CKF
Updated 23/08/2024 09:37
MM is neutral towards CKF
Updated
09/08/2024
13:13
CKF
Updated 09/08/2024 13:13
MM is neutral towards CKF
Updated
21/06/2024
10:10
CKF
Updated 21/06/2024 10:10
MM is neutral towards CKF, around $9
Updated
19/10/2023
09:52
CKF
Updated 19/10/2023 09:52
MM is cautiously bullish toward CKF
Updated
27/06/2023
16:38
CKF
Updated 27/06/2023 16:38
MM is bullish CKF again following the result
Updated
04/05/2023
09:51
CKF
Updated 04/05/2023 09:51
MM now likes CKF 6-8% lower
Updated
22/03/2023
10:56
CKF
Updated 22/03/2023 10:56
MM is bullish on CKF around $8.30.
Updated
09/12/2022
17:02
CKF
Updated 09/12/2022 17:02
MM is neutral CKF as it approached $7
Updated
28/06/2022
17:27
CKF
Updated 28/06/2022 17:27
MM is neutral CKF
Business Summary
Collins Foods is an operator of quick service restaurants, or QSRs. It franchises restaurant brands from US-listed Yum Brands, including KFC in Australia, Germany, and the Netherlands. Revenue and earnings are largely generated in Australia, where Collins is the largest KFC franchisee. Earnings growth is underpinned by its store network expansion, both new restaurants and acquisitions of existing sites. Competitive pricing is key to maintaining share in the QSR market, and the company has generally increased at or below consumer price index growth.
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