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Author: james Carter

My Bloomberg this morning is telling me that the local ASX200 may have got it wrong yesterday when it fell 0.3%, following Asian indices lower after lunch – typically they all turned around and rallied to close up after we had closed and gone home. This morning The Dow is again up well over 100-points as the tech stocks regain their “mojo” with the NASDAQ rallying 1.2% to make fresh highs for 2016.

History tells us that fading the crowd often becomes an excellent investment thematic but as we all know it’s about the timing. When we started 2016 the market simply hated resource stocks, led by BHP with the often called “Big Australian” making multi-year lows in January just above $14. Yet here we are approaching Christmas and BHP is up ~85% while the ASX200 is up only 5% – there are plenty of other stunning performances within the sector e.g. FMG +267%!

We have had one question dominating from all directions over the last week – “what makes you believe a significant correction is looming” , we will address this is simple form today but first 2 important pieces of news caught our eye on the weekend.

Market Matters Weekend Report Sunday 1st December 2019

US equities have now increased in value by over a trillion dollars since Donald Trump won the race to the White House, certainly not what most pundits were forecasting before the US presidential vote. Last night, global equities continued their advance albeit with reduced momentum after the European Central Bank (ECB) pledged to extend Quantitative Easing (QE) into 2017, plus importantly stating they will add to the stimulus if the proposed reduction to €60bn per month from €80bn per month in asset purchases fails to strengthen the European economy.

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