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Author: james Carter

Stock

Ramsay Healthcare $57.49 as at 21/6/18

Event

Ramsay made a poor announcement this morning taking a non-cash write down on some UK assets, but more importantly, they amended their FY guidance down from earnings per share (eps) growth of 8-10% to now expecting growth of 7%. The prior guidance implied eps of $2.86 while market consensus was sitting just below that at $2.84. New guidance implies eps of $2.80 for FY 18, still reasonable growth, but clearly the 20+% levels of the past are now harder to come by.

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It’s a big day for Telstra today with their much anticipated strategy update happening as I type – a platform to articulate their plans moving, which so far has created a big move in the share price on open (currently trading down 5.5% at $2.74). Back on the 22nd of last month I made a bet with one of the dealers on our floor – after today’s announcement, I’m more confident that I’ll prevail. The bet was simple, he thought TLS would see a $1 handle before a $3 handle while I was obviously on the other side, thinking that TLS had more upside than downside at that level. We put a ‘pineapple’ on it and the stock traded within 2c of the target last week – but alas, we’re back in the mid 70’s today. I use this story simply to highlight the huge amount of varying opinion towards one of Australia most iconic companies – there are simply some exceptionally negative views on this stock.  It’s hard to say they have no foundation, as the stock has been a clear ‘disaster’ in recent years courtesy of the white elephant NBN and explosive competition, however now more than ever the stock looks interesting. I’ll outline why below.

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Stock

Insurance Australia (IAG) $8.42 as at 19/06/2018

Stock

Clydesdale Bank (CYB) $5.45 as at 19/06/2018

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