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Morning report

Macro Monday: Will another US-China trade stoush create opportunities, or a big problem?

The game of chicken is back on between the US and China, just in time to deliver some seasonal October volatility. Chinese President Xi Jinping has drawn a clear red line in a bid to stem new US export controls, threatening to reignite a tit-for-tat trade spiral with Donald Trump just weeks before a planned meeting between the leaders of the world’s biggest economies.

what matters today Market Matters
Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: October’s volatility arrives on Friday night!

The ASX200 ended the week mildly softer, with tech and consumer discretionary stocks dragging the index down 0.3%. While the index treads water on the stock & sector level, the local market is getting more interesting with a strong performance by the miners almost offsetting broad-based weakness, with 5 of the main 11 sectors retreating between 1.4% and 2.4%. By Friday's close, the winners' enclosures contained an eclectic mix, with the material sector dominant in the positive contributors while the tech names were noticeable on the other side of the ledger:

Morning report

What Matters Today: Will the RBNZ reinvigorate the “yield” trade?

The ASX200 slipped 0.1% on a quiet Wednesday, which saw some initial morning weakness before buyers returned, taking the index back towards unchanged. Outside of Wesfarmers (WES) -7.5 points and James Hardie (JHX) +5.7 points, none of the main board added or retracted more than 2 points from the index.

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Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The US Government remains shut, but markets are calm

The ASX200 peeled away 0.3% on Tuesday, the first “real” day of trading this week, although losses weren’t overly broad-based, with 40% of the main board closing higher. While the retailers led the decline, it was noticeable to see some profit-taking wash through many pockets of the market as the US government lockdown drags on, even some gold names closed lower, despite the precious metal posting fresh highs.

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Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX trickles lower in quiet session

A softer session for local equities, with volumes still light on the ground despite positive offshore leads, with gold’s relentless rise still clearly in focus with several brokers upgrading their forecasts. We think some consolidation is overdue for local stocks - a healthy reset as we move through October remains our expectation for now.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

Macro Monday on Tuesday: Volatility is slowly rising as we head into October

As we head into October, volatility has started to brew beneath the surface. In the US, volatility on the stock level is testing multi-year highs, and locally, it wasn’t that long ago that we saw the most volatile reporting season in recent memory. And in the last 24-hours, with the infamous October less than one week old, we’ve started to see big moves across stock and commodity markets.

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