We covered JBH after their 1H result last month Here. While we admire JBH as a business we remained on the sidelines during its “certainty trade” blow off top around $120 and during most of its subsequent 40% pullback, but we believe the stock now looks appealing from a risk/reward perspective, finally trading back around its long term average valuation, and ~20% below its 2-year average. This is a great example of how stocks go in and out of favour while nothing operationally changes while in this case an economic slowdown and higher interest rates already look priced in.
- We like the risk/reward towards JBH around $75, initially targeting a recovery to the post-result $90 area.