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Which sectors have the recent gains in the ASX 200 come from?

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Which sectors have the recent gains in the ASX 200 come from?

The ASX 200 has added approximately 6.6% in value since Dec 20 (less than 2 months). A/ Wondering which sectors or types of stocks have these gains mostly come from? And B/ What macro backdrop can they be attributed to? The "Trump trade"? Dropping inflation? Cheers, Nick

Answer

Hi Nick,

So far in 2025 the market has been driven higher by the consumer discretionary +8.8%, Materials +7.1%, and Finance Sectors +6.9%, in other words the heavyweights. From a points perspective this can be highlighted by the markets largest 3 stocks, all from groups which exert the most influence on the ASX:

  • Commonwealth Bank (CBA) +8.8%, BHP Group (BHP) +3.6%, and National Australia Bank (NAB) +11.2% – year-to-date.

The logic behind the respective moves are straightforward although the gains have been magnified by the ongoing momentum trade stretching the valuations of the markets top performers ever higher:

  • An increasingly dovish RBA has added a tailwind to the consumer discretionary and finance names – futures markets are looking for three 0.25% rate cuts by the RBA this year.
  • The miners are gaining strength on the combination of increasing optimism towards China and an underweight market, the more they shrug of tariff concerns the better they look.
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ASX200 Sector Returns in 2025 – Source Bloomberg
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