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A volatile open this morning with the SPI Futures squeezing into the September index expiry – up ~70pts into blue sky territory, before pulling all the way back to par by lunch time. US Futures found some form and the ASX followed suit, rallying throughout the afternoon session to ultimately end up 50pts, chalking up a new all-time high for the ASX at 8200, driven by a big turnaround in the resources sector; the interpretation for now at least being that lower rates will be supportive of global growth and therefore demand for raw materials – though that could simply be back-filling a reason!

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Latest Reports

Weekend report

Weekend Q&A: The RBA supports the ASX, but Trump’s back on the prowl

The ASX 200 ended the week up 2.47% courtesy of the widely anticipated RBA rate cut and Michele Bullock's not-so-widely-expected dovish rhetoric. Credit markets are now looking for an additional three rate cuts by Christmas or February’26 at the latest. Not surprisingly, the rate-sensitive names led the advance, with tech, real estate, and financial stocks adding the most points to the index, riding the RBA wave of optimism, although there were plenty of losers on the stock level, as the macro and economic news kept on flowing.

Morning report

What Matters Today: ETF Friday focuses on Currency offerings

The ASX 200 retreated on Thursday following a bond-induced weak session on Wall Street; the Dow ultimately closed down over 800 points. However, while the local bond market remains buoyant, following the dovish RBA commentary earlier in the week, with three cuts expected before Christmas, it wasn’t enough to support a market with over 60% of the main board closing lower.

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Afternoon report

The Match Out: ASX down but does better than Wall Street.

A weaker session for the ASX, though a drop of 0.45% relative to the 1.6% decline on Wall Street shows good relative performance, which has been an ongoing theme in recent months. Gold stocks did well again while there was some sporadic corporate news flow that impacted individual names, but not a lot of top tier news flow today.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

What Matters Today: Can the other banks follow CBA to new highs?

The ASX 200 extended May's advance to +3.2%, taking the index within striking distance of its February all-time high. However, although the market finished up 0.5%, gains were far from broad-based, with over 45% of the ASX200 closing lower.

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Afternoon report

The Match Out: RBA rate cut fuels ASX higher, gold back on track

The ASX hit a new 3-month high today on residual optimism from yesterdays more dovish RBA rhetoric. The majority of stocks rallied, banks pushed up again and we saw a number of corporates provide solid updates, though not all were rosy. The backdrop for Australian equities has certainly improved in the last month, and it just seems a matter of time before we’re writing about new all-time highs at the index level.

The Match Out Market Matters
Morning report

Portfolio Positioning: The RBA delivers the “Goldilocks scenario” for stocks

The ASX200 advanced +0.6% on Tuesday following the 0.25% rate cut by the RBA and a far more dovish outlook from Michele Bullock. Bond yields plunged on commentary about inflation, now within the RBA target band both in terms of the headline rate and the trimmed mean, with RBA forecasts expecting it to stay that way.

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