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Australian Investment Blog

ASX:FMG 20/08/2018

Twiggy pays a big dividend, no surprises from Fortescue

Stock

Fortescue (ASX:FMG) $4.19 as at 20/08/2018

Event

Fortescue’s FY18 numbers were released to the market this morning to little fanfare despite the reasonable result. Adding a chunky dividend to help the Income portfolio. There were no real surprises in the result as much of the data could be deduced from their 4th qtr numbers from a few weeks ago which we spoke about here. The dividend was the biggest talking point – FMG had flagged a payout ratio of between 50-80%, and disappointed the market in the first half when only 39% of profits were released in the half- likely holding some cash for their tip at Atlas Iron. They made up the difference and some today with a 12c final dividend, placing the payout ratio ~55% for the year. There was no change to guidance for 165-173Mt shipped, $12-13/wmt costs & dividend payout of 50-80% for FY19 and reiterated their plans to sell a higher grade product through blending iron ore. The below chart has caught our eye. This chart is showing the divergence of FMG away from their underlying Iron Ore price proxy: Source; Shaw & Partners Fortescue (FMG) Chart ASX:FMG chart

Market Matters Take/Outlook

No real surprises from Fortescue in the result. It has been interesting to watch the sell off on the stock over recent months. A clear diversion from the share price and their iron ore price realisation proxy which makes the stock look interesting. We like the payout ratio rising to be in line with previous guidance, preferring the company to pay away capital rather than chase M&A, hence the inclusion into our Income Portfolio. Is FMG a buy? View the recommendation in our income portfolio.

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