Nickel Industries Ltd (NIC) 86.5c
Nickel Industries (NIC) falls more than 8% after a fatality at its Hengjaya mine in Indonesia led to suspension of operations.
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Undervalued
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026.
Quantitative Equity Rating Methodology – view here
Five-star price 0.60 Fair value 0.75 One-star price 0.93
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026.
Morningstar Quantitative Rating as of 6 NOV 2026. The slider runs from the five-star price (0.60) to the one-star price (0.93).
| Ratios |
|---|
| Currency (Price/reporting): AUD/USD |
| Exchange Rate: 1.4485 |
| Price - closing or last bid | 0.59 |
| Price - 12 month high | 1.13 |
| Price - 12 month low | 0.57 |
| Pricing date | 5 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last ten days | 8.58 |
| Market capitalization | 2,561.74 |
| 12 Month High price date | 12 MAY 2026 |
| 12 Month Low price date | 4 NOV 2026 |
| Volume - avg. trading volume for the last 3 months | 7.10 |
| Price - 1 Day % Change | -3.28% |
| Price - 13 week price percent change | -29.34% |
| Price - 26 week price percent change | -43.00% |
| Price - 5 Day % Change | -6.35% |
| Price - 52 week price percent change | -13.87% |
| Price - YTD price percent change | -29.34% |
| Price % Change Month To Date | -22.88% |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.013 |
| EPS excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.004 |
| EPS Normalized - most recent fiscal year | -0.012 |
| Revenue/share - most recent fiscal year | 0.381 |
| Revenue/share - trailing 12 month | 0.404 |
| Book value per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.471 |
| Book value per share - most recent half-year | 0.483 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.539 |
| Book value (tangible) per share - most recent half-year | 0.556 |
| Cash per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.074 |
| Cash per share - most recent half-year | 0.062 |
| Cash Flow per share - most recent fiscal year | 0.018 |
| Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.021 |
| Dividend per share - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Dividends per share - trailing 12 month | 0.000 |
| EBITD per share - trailing 12 month | 0.071 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.013 |
| EPS Basic excluding extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.004 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - most recent fiscal year | -0.013 |
| EPS including extraordinary items - trailing 12 month | -0.004 |
| Free Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 0.009 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items, most recent fiscal year | — |
| P/E Normalized, most recent fiscal year | — |
| Price to sales - most recent fiscal year | 0.99 |
| Price to Tangible Book - most fiscal year | 0.89 |
| Price to Free Cash Flow per Share - most recent fiscal year | 42.65 |
| Price to Cash Flow per share - trailing 12 month | 18.91 |
| Price to Book - most recent fiscal year | 0.84 |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items high, trailing 12 months | — |
| P/E excluding extraordinary items low, trailing 12 months | — |
| Net Debt, LFI | 980.02 |
| Net Debt, LFY | 902.79 |
| Dividend Yield - 5 Year Average | 3.91% |
| Dividend Yield - indicated annual dividend divided by closing price | — |
| Current Dividend Yield - Common Stock Primary Issue, LTM | 0.00% |
| Free Cash Flow - most recent fiscal year | 43.44 |
| LT debt/equity - most recent fiscal year | 44.83% |
| Payout ratio - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent fiscal year | 49.87% |
| LT debt/equity - most recent half-year | 46.03% |
| Total debt/total equity - most recent half-year | 49.37% |
| Free Cash Flow - trailing 12 month | 40.81 |
| Payout ratio - trailing 12 month | — |
| Revenue - most recent fiscal year | 1,649.10 |
| Revenue - trailing 12 month | 1,757.78 |
| EBITD - most recent fiscal year | 241.74 |
| EBITD - trailing 12 month | 307.72 |
| Earnings before taxes - most recent fiscal year | -6.66 |
| Earnings before taxes - trailing 12 month | 43.04 |
| Net Income available to common - most recent fiscal year | -57.06 |
| Net Income available to common - trailing 12 months | -15.85 |
| Earnings before taxes Normalized - most recent fiscal year | 2.58 |
| Net Income Available to Common, Normalized - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Earnings per Share, Normalized, Excluding Extraordinary Items, Avg. Diluted Shares Outstanding, TTM | 0.00 |
| Net Profit Margin % - 1st historical fiscal year | -2.50% |
| Net Profit Margin % - trailing 12 month | 0.44% |
| Operating margin - 1st historical fiscal year | 7.05% |
| Operating margin - trailing 12 month | 9.66% |
| Pretax margin - trailing 12 month | 2.45% |
| Pretax margin - 1st historical fiscal year | -0.40% |
| Operating Margin - 5 year average | 16.41% |
| Pretax Margin - 5 year average | 9.27% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, 5 Year Average | 7.44% |
| Free Operating Cash Flow/Revenue, TTM | 2.32% |
| Net Profit Margin - 5 year average | 8.09% |
| Return on average assets - most recent fiscal year | -1.03% |
| Return on average assets - trailing 12 month | 0.19% |
| Return on average equity - most recent fiscal year | -1.97% |
| Return on average equity - trailing 12 month | 0.37% |
| Return on average assets - 5 year average | 3.73% |
| Return on average equity - 5 year average | 6.28% |
| Net Income/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue/employee - most recent fiscal year | — |
| Revenue growth rate, 5 year | 25.80% |
| EPS growth rate, 5 year | — |
| Growth rate% - dividend, 3 year | -30.18% |
| Revenue/share (5 yr growth) | 7.23% |
| Growth rate% - Revenue, 3 year | 10.66% |
| Growth rate% - EPS, 3 year | — |
| Book value per share growth rate, 5 year | 4.72% |
| Capital Spending growth rate, 5 year | 37.22% |
| Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation & Amortization, 5 Year CAGR | 4.27% |
Financial forecast (AUD, millions except per share)
| Actuals | Estimates | |||||||
| 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | ||||
| Estimate breakdown | ||||||||
Financials (USD, millions)
| Period end: | DEC 21 | DEC 22 | DEC 23 | DEC 24 | DEC 25 |
| Fiscal year: | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| Period length: | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
Announcements
| DATE | TIME | HEADING | PAGES |
| Price sensitive |
Nickel Industries (NIC) falls more than 8% after a fatality at its Hengjaya mine in Indonesia led to suspension of operations.
We are lifting our stop in Nickel Industries (NIC) this morning following its fourth quarter update.
The resources sector has boomed as we all know in recent times with nickel having been laggard due to supply issues from Indonesia. However, with the demand for battery metals set to rise again in 2026 and the Indonesian government expected to slash the regions production quota the dynamic could already be changing.
NIC is a company which focuses on nickel production and processing, with operations mainly in Indonesia. We haven’t discussed NIC at length in 2025 with it having fallen more than 9% while most other miners have soared higher. However, similar to copper, demand for nickel is expected to grow over the long run, mainly because EVs and batteries use it.
NIC surged over 9% on Thursday, following Putin’s comments on nickel. Russia’s MMC Norilsk Nickel PJSC is the world’s biggest producer of refined nickel, and it’s not subject to US or UK sanctions. The West has chosen what to sanction from Russia in a somewhat bigoted fashion;
We haven’t been a fan of NIC over the years, the Indonesian producer of primarily pig iron (used to make steel), but its share price is turning the corner nicely. A great example that these lesser followed metal stocks are attracting some buying. While the pig iron price didn’t quite attract the lofty prices that battery-grade nickel saw, it is now benefitting from the tighter controls on Russian supply while China looks set to see higher demand.
We prefer IGO as a business to NIC although their relative valuations are starting to stretch with IGO +14.4% in 2023 while NIC is down -9.3% i.e. the trend of the last 12 months has been “the strong keep getting stronger and the weak weaker”.
Yesterday saw Nickel business NIC recommence action on the ASX following a trading halt after a capital raise at $1.02 with funds largely used to acquire two producing nickel assets.
NIC has fallen -28% year-to-date even while the commodity on which its business focuses has risen, albeit in an extremely volatile fashion. However, the stock has bounced almost 50% from its October low significantly reducing the risk/reward appeal in the process. Nickel is a very widely used industrial metal that should benefit from the transition to renewables as it’s used in rechargeable lithium-ion batteries.
MM is bullish Nickel Industries (NIC) around 88c
MM is long and bullish towards Nickel Industries Ltd (NIC) around 95c
Trade Idea: Buy Nickel Industries Ltd (NIC) at 94c limit, with stops at 85c, ~10% risk.
MM is bullish towards NIC
MM is cautiously bullish about NIC
MM is bullish towards NIC in the short-term
MM is bullish NIC in the short term
MM is neutral at best toward NIC
MM likes NIC below $1
MM is neutral NIC around $1
Nickel Industries Ltd is engaged in acquiring, exploring, and developing nickel projects. The group has three segments: nickel ore mining in Indonesia, the RKEF projects in Indonesia and Singapore, and the HPAL projects in Indonesia. Its principal operations, located in Indonesia, are the Hengjaya Nickel, Oracle Nickel, and RKEF projects located within the Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park (IMIP), the Angel Nickel RKEF Project within the Indonesia Weda Bay Industrial Park (IWIP), and the Hengjaya Mine, a large tonnage, high grade nickel laterite deposit in proximity to the IMIP.
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