Market Risk & Uncertainty Index

17/02/2025

Market Risk & Uncertainty Index

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Latest Reports

Afternoon report 07/09/2026

The Match Out: ASX flat as tech weakness persists; Ingenia rejects Warburg Pincus bid and coal stocks fire up

The ASX 200 started the week slowly, with the U.S session on Friday night largely in the rearview mirror, and closed for tonight, there was little in the tank to drive a move either way as strength across Energy, Materials and the banks was cancelled out by weakness in Technology. The market remains firmly in post-reporting-season mode, with attention shifting back to oil, bond yields and central-bank policy to determine the next move.

Morning report 07/09/2026

Macro Monday: Central banks look poised to rein in stocks over the coming weeks/months

Bond markets and central banks are back in focus after Friday night's August US jobs report came in far stronger than expected, with nonfarm payrolls rising by 162,000—more than triple consensus forecasts—while unemployment held steady at 4.1%. Labour-force participation also improved, and prior months were revised higher, reinforcing signs that the jobs market has rebounded from its early-summer softness, shifting attention firmly to this week’s CPI (inflation) data, with the resilient labour market increasing the prospect of a Fed rate hike at next week's meeting.