The Match Out: ASX down but held up better than Futures implied

A few in the market scratching their heads this morning about the 1.5% decline in the last few hours of trade overnight, multiple reasons at play, with a big put options position as one of them, along with strong US economic data, however, the market has run hot and some profit taking met low volumes and selling fed on itself. The ASX though did better than the 1% decline futures were implying, the low for the day set early on before fighting back to end mildly lower, still ~750 points/ 11% above the 6751 low set on the 30th October. With one trading session to go before Christmas, the ASX200 is up 6.6% before dividends.

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Afternoon report 15/10/2025 17:23

The Match Out: ASX nudges 9000

The ASX rallied to finish near the 9000 level and within reach of all-time highs - the majority of gains driven by the major banks and miners as upbeat sentiment from a strong start to the U.S. earnings season spilled over into the local market. The Big Four led the charge on renewed optimism around credit growth, while gold miners benefited from another surge in bullion prices.

Morning report 15/10/2025 09:44

Portfolio Positioning: 4 turnaround opportunities in a hot market

The ASX200 experienced a choppy Tuesday before ultimately closing up +0.2% courtesy of another stellar session by the resources, with the materials sector +2.3% and energy sector +1.4% dragging a begrudging market higher.

Afternoon report 14/10/2025 17:12

The Match Out: ASX recovers early weakness, Rare Earths stocks go ballistic

The ASX flipped between gains and losses through Tuesday and sat mildly higher near 8900 at the close. Risk appetite improved on signs Washington and Beijing will keep talking, a cooler Middle East backdrop and a flow on more positive updates from Aussie corporates, with several positive, growth orientated deals announced.

Morning report 14/10/2025 09:49

What Matters Today: The local high-valued/growth stocks are feeling vulnerable

The ASX 200 opened lower as expected on Monday, but failed to capitalise on a steady advance in U.S. futures, with nearly half of the session’s losses occurring in the afternoon even as the S&P pushed higher.

Afternoon report 13/10/2025 17:13

The Match Out: ASX hit on trade threats, ANZ resets strategy & rallies

The ASX tracked weakness in overseas markets, though we started the day better off, with US Futures recovering from the get-go, finding solace from DJT’s more conciliatory comments towards China.

Morning report 13/10/2025 09:40

Macro Monday: Will another US-China trade stoush create opportunities, or a big problem?

The game of chicken is back on between the US and China, just in time to deliver some seasonal October volatility. Chinese President Xi Jinping has drawn a clear red line in a bid to stem new US export controls, threatening to reignite a tit-for-tat trade spiral with Donald Trump just weeks before a planned meeting between the leaders of the world’s biggest economies.

Weekend report 11/10/2025 13:42

Weekend Q&A: October’s volatility arrives on Friday night!

The ASX200 ended the week mildly softer, with tech and consumer discretionary stocks dragging the index down 0.3%. While the index treads water on the stock & sector level, the local market is getting more interesting with a strong performance by the miners almost offsetting broad-based weakness, with 5 of the main 11 sectors retreating between 1.4% and 2.4%. By Friday's close, the winners' enclosures contained an eclectic mix, with the material sector dominant in the positive contributors while the tech names were noticeable on the other side of the ledger:

Afternoon report 10/10/2025 17:47

What Mattered Today: ASX trickles lower with profit taking across the Golds

The ASX closed lower for the week, with today’s session capped by a risk-off tone as peace headlines out of Gaza knocked the shine off oil and gold, while iron ore heavyweights fell on renewed pricing tensions with China.

Morning report 10/10/2025 09:16

ETF Friday: Looking at 3 ETFs for sector reversion into 2026

The ASX 200 rose +0.3% on Thursday, though the real action played out beneath the market's surface, with the materials sector leading the charge, up +1.8% despite a rare pullback in gold stocks.

Afternoon report 09/10/2025 17:20

The Match Out: Copper & Rare Earth stocks push ASX within striking distance of all-time high

The ASX snapped a three-day losing streak today as heavyweight miners powered the market higher, pushing the index back within reach of record levels. A 14-month high in copper prices sparked strong gains across the materials sector, offsetting weakness in banks and tech.